Saturday 10 January 2009

Unveiling the hoax

In the view of recent collapse of 4th biggest IT firm in India, namely Satyam. A great paradox! The word ‘Satyam’ means truth. It’s a tight slap in the face of the clamour that Indian IT industry was making about the highest standards they were maintaining in Corporate Governance. What is more painful is that this fraud on the statements & balance sheet was being carried forward for last 7 years, as per the disclosure given by B. Ramlinga Raju, the Promoter & Mentor of Satyam & in turn the IT revolution in India. The whole sequence has left the entire IT & Telecommunication industry shamefaced.
But there is something positive to take from this all. The investors the world over now understand that no one in the world is so sacrosanct to take their word blindly. The extent of this fraud is so horrific that no one knows the truth anymore. No one knows the value of assets & liabilities Satyam holds, the actual turnover it has or for that matter anything in the annual reports. As per the statement given by the caretaking head Mynepalli, they are not sure whether they have enough cash to pay the salary to the staff for Jan 2009.
In such a scenario no one would dare bailing Satyam out or even buy them out, even if it comes to a value of Re. 1 per share. This all was followed by unveiling few more scams in the making. Raju was about to siphon off $ 1.6 billion to his other flagship company Maytas Infra. Which luckily for the investors was discovered by media in time & Raju had to drop the idea. It followed by another event as World Bank banned Satyam for 8 years, because of data theft cases that came out in past few years.
Infosys has come out & publicly announced that they will not absorb any of the staff of Satyam, even on senior positions. They are partially right about it, as no one knows to what extent this scam goes. How can one hide a scam of an extent of Rs. 7000 crores i.e. $ 1.75 billion without having many of the staff accomplice in it. The only salvage for millions of investors is that Raju has been arrested & will be presented in the court. But the problem still is that India does not have its own version of Sarbanes Oxley Act which protects the investors’ interest. Indian counterpart of US SEC namely SEBI is a toothless tiger that only makes noise but can’t bite. This would give a big time wake up call to the bureaucrats & the lawmakers to come up with better mechanism than they have to avoid such instances in the future. At least this will get the economic reforms moving, that had been stalled since the existing government came into power and it’s been 5 years now!
The worst part of this fiasco is that it came in time when it was least needed. Whole world is crumpling under the pressure of recession & joblessness. This even has the potential to pull India into it, which so far was still hopeful of clocking growth of 6.5% in the current fiscal year. But the timing of this fiasco could not be just a coincidence; the scrutiny needs to check where all this started & how. My gut feeling is that, it all started with the dotcom burst in the Y2K. It makes a perfect sense that, Satyam should have collapsed in that burst, but thanks to innovation shown by Raju it not only survived but also was a symbol of strength. When other companies like Infosys, TCS lost their 40% of market cap in the IT slump of 2007, Satyam had lost barely 20% of its. The reason of the strength was impeccable forgery that none of the analysts could suspect.
Biggest question now for the investors is that what the auditors were doing when they signed the Auditor’s reports for all these years. This even has taken world’s trust away from the world’s big 4 accountancy & audit firms. As if the Arthur Anderson’s follies in Enron’s case weren’t enough, PriceWaterhouse Coopers wanted to test the wisdom of the people to discover another scam. Possibly we’ll now be left with only big 3 of these firms or may be we’re on the verge of all new accountability standards which brings some amount of trust back in the business. The stock market watchdogs world over need to come up with some better mechanism than current state of auditors & credit rating agencies. With the current sub-prime crisis & no. of scams that have come out in the recent times, we have all the reasons to question their business models & their integrity towards their profile.
Let us all hope that the outcome of this scam will bring some of the positives that the world has been waiting & longing for. It’s about time that we see the positives of globalisation, put our brains together to innovate the solution.

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