Thursday 29 January 2009

Revival of global economy

There is no doubt about global turmoil on economic front but there are going to be umpteen opinions about how the global economy can be revived. The evidence is the huge strike called on by as many as 8 unions in France. This has almost stalled the whole country. As we go on from here this could be more than just an aberration.

To move the engines of growth moving as fast as they were a year back, there has to be free circulation of money in the global economy. So far whatever money was pumped into the global economy has been used to make good the losses made by bad assets of the Corporates like Merrill Lynch, Freddie Mac, and Fannie Mae of the world. So more money must be pumped in the global economy to lubricate the wheels of the engine of growth. There are basically two views about the possible quick recovery of the global economy. Let us have a look at them in brief.

One view is that of the governments world over & the actions that they are taking in a little haphazard manner. So far they have concentrated their efforts on rescuing the troubled corporations in their respective countries. So far they have spent as much as $2 trillion in this effort & almost $1 trillion is still in offering. So far the common people have been a mere observer in this preposterous sequence of events. The frequency with which the Corporates were nearing to bankruptcy & the immediate rescue packages declared by the governments to save the jobs in the country & in turn their skin has been astonishing. So should all the hard earned money of the people collected in the form of taxes be spent on revival of the sick companies? Obviously they have not been running their businesses in a correct manner. So isn’t it like rewarding the brats of classes by punishing the toppers. (This looks more like communist than capitalist to me, but hey, that’s just me! This time sponsored by the biggest capitalist, US of A!) This seems to be just an invitation to public outrage.

The second view to revival of the economy could be increasing the public consumption by putting the money directly in the hands of the people who can start spending that, it will flow in the hands of the Corporates who are doing the things right & whom the people trust. This can be done by two ways: by securing & creating jobs of the people working & by boosting the public infrastructure & thereby public spending. (This also is more or less like communism) (So the solution of capitalist follies in communism??? Shock for the American capitalism???)

Obviously in both the cases the banks have to play the role of lynchpin around which the money circulates. But for this the public confidence in the working banks needs to be restored. Both the views mentioned above cannot be executed in isolation but there has to be prioritisation of the actions taken. Should the money left with governments be spent on making good the losses first or should the infrastructure be given precedence over that? Because money also is a rare commodity & is not available in abundance & for free.

Then comes the time to ask who all are responsible for this huge farcical tragedy we got the privilege to witness. Prima facie the responsibility goes to the governments & the Corporates that benefited from the policies followed by the governments such as sub-prime lending & ridiculously low rates of interests for the housing loans & free availability of credit to any & every one. Add to that the lack of infrastructure & transparency in the rating agencies & auditors for the corporations. (Refer my previous blogs for details of this frivolity!) Now it’s time to restore some corporate governance, right after we achieve some government governance.

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